Emergence of Numerical Weather Prediction: Richardson's Dream by Peter Lynch (En

Publisher Description

Lewis Fry Richardson dreamt that scientific weather prediction would one day become a practical reality. Before his ideas could bear fruit several advances were needed: better understanding of the dynamics of the atmosphere; stable computational algorithms to integrate the equations; regular observations of the free atmosphere; and powerful automatic computer equipment. By 1950 advances in all these fronts were sufficient to permit the first computer forecast to be made. Over the ensuing fifty years progress in numerical weather prediction has been dramatic. Weather prediction and climate modelling have now reached a high level of sophistication. This book, first published in 2006, tells the story of Richardson's trial forecast, and the fulfilment of his dream of practical numerical weather forecasting. It includes a complete reconstruction of Richardson's forecast, and analyses in detail the causes of his failure. This will appeal to everyone involved in numerical weather forecasting, from researchers and graduate students to professionals.

Table of Contents

Guiding signs; Preface; Acknowledgements; 1. Weather and prediction by numerical process; 2. The fundamental equations; 3. The oscillations of the atmosphere; 4. The barotropic forecast; 5. The solution algorithm; 6. Observations and inital fields; 7. Richardson's forecast; 8. Balance and initialization; 9. Smoothing the forecast; 10. The ENIAC integrations; 11. Numerical weather prediction today; 12. Fulfilment of the dream; Appendix 1. Table of notation; Appendix 2. Milestones in Richardson's life and career; Appendix 3. Laplace tidal equations: separation of variables; Appendix 4. Richardson's forecast-factory: the $64,000 question; References; Index.

Review

'A wonderful study of the scientific history which also forms a very educational lesson in numerical weather forecasting.' Translated from La Meteorologie 'He's an expert on initialization and has repeated and extended Richardson's original computations, including his barotropic forecast, and those done by von Neumann and Charney on the ENIAC at Aberdeen, Maryland in 1950. ... This well-written history clearly displays the success and practical importance of applied mathematics. Thanks, Peter, for demonstrating that the swinging spring isn't just for fun.' SIAM Review "The Emergence of Numerical Weather Prediction is the best single source available for understanding Richardson's forecast--better even than Richardson's own book.... Lynch's book is more than just a historical case study--he has provided an insider's guide to how weather prediction works.
Brian Hayes, American Scientist "...Lynch serves as an experienced guide--a trusted leader and companion who possesses the macroscopic view of Richardson's work and adds detail from his pervasive knowledge of the subject. Beyond the knowledge, he has the gift of writing where hard mathematical fact is eloquently mixed with history and that occasional but welcome tincture of humor. ... [this author gives] us the solid theory that is masterfully blended with history. The subjects come to life and inspire us. [This book] has a special place on my bookshelf. It is a treasure, and I will refer to it often." - John M. Lewis, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Review Quote

"The Emergence of Numerical Weather Prediction is the best single source available for understanding Richardson's forecast--better even than Richardson's own book.... Lynch's book is more than just a historical case study--he has provided an insider's guide to how weather prediction works. Brian Hayes, American Scientist

Promotional "Headline"

This book, first published in 2006, is a history of weather forecasting for researchers, graduate students and professionals in numerical weather forecasting.

Description for Bookstore

Lewis Fry Richardson dreamt that scientific weather prediction would become a practical reality. This book, first published in 2006, tells the story of Richardson's trial forecast, and the fulfilment of his dream of practical numerical weather forecasting. It will appeal to everyone in numerical weather forecasting, from researchers and graduate students to professionals.

Description for Library

Lewis Fry Richardson dreamt that scientific weather prediction would become a practical reality. This book, first published in 2006, tells the story of Richardson's trial forecast, and the fulfilment of his dream of practical numerical weather forecasting. It will appeal to everyone in numerical weather forecasting, from researchers and graduate students to professionals.

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